Brussels’ main antagonist may be off the scene since the defeat of Viktor Orban last month, but major reforms and political détente stand between calm relations with Hungary. Is Péter Magyar the man to restore the balance?
Early indicators given reason for optimismbut also a lot of room for doubt. Despite the relief at Orbán’s departure, his successor has been reticent to follow through on Hungary’s long-standing resistance to Brussels — most notably over Ukraine’s admission to the bloc.
Then there was the difficult maneuvering as a meeting between Magyar and Ursula von der Leyen was apparently delayed, with the Commission evading until the last minute when it would take place. While a welcome is expected for an important new head of state, this one was decidedly cold.
Either way, Magyar arrived in Brussels more like a contender than a lost leader coming in from the cold. Securing frozen EU funds was at the heart of his election campaign, and the brash new prime minister realized that this would be extremely achievable. For its part, the Commission had been careful in promising disbursements, with an official showing EuractivThe reporter of that it is unlikely (Budapest) will receive the 10 billion euros they aim for.
So the news on Friday afternoon that over 16.4 billion euros will be unlocked it appears to be a big win for Magyar, who said he did not expect such a sum. “We were tough negotiating partners – the president can attest to that – we fought for every last cent,” he said after the meeting.
Crucially, the funds will not be disbursed until reforms are made – a lesson learned from Poland, where promised reforms stalled after frozen billions were released. “The moment the rule of law reform passes parliament, the moment the money associated with that milestone can be distributed,” von der Leyen said.
And despite the small coldness on the eve of the summit, the mood afterwards was distinctly upbeat. “It is a lot, but the Hungarian people deserve it,” von der Leyen said.
How long the good vibes last is another question. On June 16, Brussels will propose the opening The first negotiating group of Kyiv for EU membership. It remains to be seen whether Budapest will continue to block this and Magyar insisted that his position on Ukraine is separate from Hungary’s frozen funds.
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